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Markets Rally Post-Midterm Elections—Will It Continue?

Markets Rally Post-Midterm Elections—Will It Continue?

December 5, 2022
Following midterm elections, November 2022 was good to investors, which tracks with historical post-election norms. The tech-laden Nasdaq rose...
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Evidence Mounts for “Light” Recession in Next 12 Months

Evidence Mounts for “Light” Recession in Next 12 Months

December 3, 2022
As most know, my base case for the U.S. (and global) economic outlook for 2023 is calling for a...
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Was the October Rally Just a Head Fake or Will It Continue?

Was the October Rally Just a Head Fake or Will It Continue?

November 3, 2022
“Don’t do something, just stand here.” — American Investor and Philanthropist, Jack Bogle We all have heard that...
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What’s Ahead for the Markets: Recession or Stagflation?

What’s Ahead for the Markets: Recession or Stagflation?

November 3, 2022
As most of you know, I suspect we will see a light recession unfold over the next six months....
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“Canary in a Coal Mine”: FedEx Signals Recession Ahead

“Canary in a Coal Mine”: FedEx Signals Recession Ahead

October 5, 2022
The Bridge of Sighs (picture below) is an enclosed bridge located in Venice, Italy, which was built in 1603....
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September Was Ugly. Will Q4 Bring Positive Returns and a Post-Midterm Election Rally?

September Was Ugly. Will Q4 Bring Positive Returns and a Post-Midterm Election Rally?

October 4, 2022
“September stands alone as the only month in which the market falls more frequently than it rises.” — Sam...
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July to Mid-August Rally Followed by Late August Swoon—What’s Next?

July to Mid-August Rally Followed by Late August Swoon—What’s Next?

September 2, 2022
“And when things start to happen, don’t worry don’t stew, just go right along, you’ll start happening too.” ...
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Capitalism—The Best Game in Town

Capitalism—The Best Game in Town

September 1, 2022
Most economists and analysts don’t deal with longer-term trends, which are harder to predict because the variables fluctuate and...
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Was July Just a Dead Cat Bounce in a Bear Market or the Start of a New Bull Run?

Was July Just a Dead Cat Bounce in a Bear Market or the Start of a New Bull Run?

August 4, 2022
“There’s a reason why your windshield is bigger than your rearview mirror. Where you are going is more important...
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Recession? Income Statement, Yes. Balance Sheet, No.

Recession? Income Statement, Yes. Balance Sheet, No.

August 3, 2022
The financial world was all abuzz earlier this year about inflation. Now that the Federal Reserve has raised rates...
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Recession Odds Raised as the Federal Reserve Fights Inflation

Recession Odds Raised as the Federal Reserve Fights Inflation

July 6, 2022
The recently released data on the consumer price index suggests that inflation hasn’t been tamed, with “headline” rates remaining...
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Limping Into the Locker Room at Halftime. What’s in Store for the Second Half?

Limping Into the Locker Room at Halftime. What’s in Store for the Second Half?

July 5, 2022
“The stock market has predicted nine of the last five recessions.” —Paul Samuelson Wow, we can do without...
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