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The Anticipated Recession Is Tardy But Not Canceled

The Anticipated Recession Is Tardy But Not Canceled

August 10, 2023
I have been highlighting my thoughts that the U.S. (and the global) economy stands a much higher probability of...
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Outstanding First Half. Do We See a Market Upswing or a Fade During the Rest of 2023?

Outstanding First Half. Do We See a Market Upswing or a Fade During the Rest of 2023?

July 13, 2023
“Extraordinary magic follows you around and the camera can’t catch it, you won’t see it in the...
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What Are the Long-Term Drivers of Economic Activity?

What Are the Long-Term Drivers of Economic Activity?

July 13, 2023
Most of my—and others’—economic comments tend to focus upon the cyclical, or shorter-term, view. Where is the economy within...
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Market Review: Time to Look on the Bright Side?

Market Review: Time to Look on the Bright Side?

June 8, 2023
When you’re chewing on life’s gristle, don’t grumble, give a whistle and … always look on the bright side...
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Government Deficit – We Have Met the Enemy, and He Is Us

Government Deficit – We Have Met the Enemy, and He Is Us

June 7, 2023
While the government narrowly missed defaulting on its debt obligations, some have asked, “What would the impact be if...
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Stuck in Neutral: Our “Hold Your Ground” Message Plays On

Stuck in Neutral: Our “Hold Your Ground” Message Plays On

May 9, 2023
You’ve got yourself stuck in a moment, And now you can’t get out of it.— Chorus from a U2...
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Banking Crisis? U.S. Stock Market Responds, “I’ve Got This!”

Banking Crisis? U.S. Stock Market Responds, “I’ve Got This!”

April 6, 2023
“Genius is nothing but a greater aptitude for patience.” — George-Louis de Buffon, well-known 18 th century naturalist ...
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Past and Present U.S. Bank Failures: A Review of the Causes

Past and Present U.S. Bank Failures: A Review of the Causes

April 6, 2023
When Silicon Valley Bank’s (SVB) problems first came to light, it looked like a “classic” bank run as depositors...
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Solid 2023 Start to U.S. Markets Faded Some in February…What’s Next?

Solid 2023 Start to U.S. Markets Faded Some in February…What’s Next?

March 6, 2023
“Be curious, not judgmental.”— attributed to Walt Whitman. The nice break in January represented a respite from negative...
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Pressures Weighing on Taming Inflation

Pressures Weighing on Taming Inflation

March 3, 2023
Inflation pressures are abating. All are aware of this, at least from a macro perspective. In June 2022, the...
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Great Start to 2023. What Will the Rest of the Year Bring?

Great Start to 2023. What Will the Rest of the Year Bring?

February 2, 2023
The U.S. stock market broke out of the gate in style and good fashion in this new year. It...
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2023: An Economic Transition or “Passage” Year

2023: An Economic Transition or “Passage” Year

February 2, 2023
“The journey in between what you once were and who you are now becoming is where the dance of...
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