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Can the 2023 “Goldilocks” Economy Continue in 2024?

February 5, 2024
Read time: 6 minutes The numbers are in—no more guessing about growth levels or inflation rates for 2023....
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Solid Results and Finish to 2023. Back to Normal Is Our Theme for 2024.

January 4, 2024
Read time: 10 minutes Our theme for the equity market as we approached 2023 was: 2023 is likely...
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Soft Landing Highly Probable Despite Above-Normal Recession Risk  

January 4, 2024
Read time: 12 minutes It’s that time of the year when it is appropriate to look forward to...
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Our 2024 View: Overall Economic Growth Is Slowing

December 14, 2023
Read time: 8 minutes For those who didn’t experience “The Tonight Show Starring Johnny Carson,” he used to...
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More to Celebrate Than Fear as We Head Into 2024

December 14, 2023
Read time: 16 minutes “By rationally looking at long-term trends instead of viscerally reacting to the horror story...
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Why We’re Cautious Near Term and Constructive Longer Term. The Key Is Rates.

November 3, 2023
Read time: 16 minutes As we near year-end, we are cautious about S&P 500 returns in the near...
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U.S. Macro Economy Growing, Albeit Slowly

November 3, 2023
Read time: 9 minutes On Nov. 1, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released its first report concerning...
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Stock Market or Market of Stocks?

October 6, 2023
Read time: 10 minutes Over my 40+ years of being involved in the business of professional investment practice,...
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Expected Recession Is Tardy—What Gives?

October 6, 2023
Read time: 10 minutes “The four most expensive words in the English language are, ‘This time it’s different.’”...
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It’s A Mad, Mad World… So Mad That We Are Still Outrageously Neutral

It’s A Mad, Mad World… So Mad That We Are Still Outrageously Neutral

September 14, 2023
“It would be so nice if something made sense for a change.” —Lewis Carroll, “Alice in Wonderland” August...
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The Economic Impact of Rising Mortgage Rates

The Economic Impact of Rising Mortgage Rates

September 14, 2023
In April 2022, I provided an analysis of home purchase costs in relation to median national household income. In...
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July Was Another Winner for the Markets… Time for a Breather?

July Was Another Winner for the Markets… Time for a Breather?

August 10, 2023
“Things turn out best for the people who make the best of the way things turn out.” – John...
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